was a staged event by Widmore - everyone has been placed in position and awakened in and around the "wreckage" - the exploding plane seen by Ben and the "Others" was empty
0.0%
was a staged event by Ben and the Hostiles
33.3%
never happened since the happenings of Lost are all in the respective minds of the characters
33.3%
was a real event - but everyone on the plane was on board for a reason
0.0%
was a real event - and everyone was on board coincidentally